In einem Bericht an den Bundestag warnt der Bundesrechnungshof (BRH) vor einem drohenden Anstieg der Sozialbeiträge von derzeit knapp 40 Prozent auf 53,3 Prozent im Jahr 2060, sollte der Gesetzgeber nicht umgehend handeln. Anstelle einer kurzfristigen „Politik nach Kassenlage“ gelte es, so der BRH in seinem Bericht, der an die Ausschüsse für Haushalt, Arbeit und Soziales sowie Gesundheit ging und dem Tagesspiegel Background vorliegt, das gesamte System an die sich verändernde Altersstruktur der Bevölkerung anzupassen. Das gehe nicht, ohne die „verlautbarten politischen Ziele Beitragssatzstabilität, Erhaltung des derzeitigen Versorgungsniveaus sowie keine Steuererhöhungen und keine Neuverschuldung aufzugeben“, schreibt die Behörde. „Denn die Einhaltung dieser politischen Ziele kommt einer Quadratur des Kreises gleich.“
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