Ob das BSW in den Bundestag einziehen wird, ist ungewiss. In den aktuellen Meinungsumfragen liegt das Bündnis zwischen vier und 6,5 Prozent. Ein Jahr nach der offiziellen Parteigründung am 8. Januar 2024 muss die Abspaltung der Linken somit um ihren Einzug in den Bundestag bangen, da auch der Gewinn von Direktmandaten äußerst unwahrscheinlich ist.
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